Monday, June 24, 2019

We were 10 minutes away from bombing Iran.  We were less than 24 hours from arresting and deporting a million undocumented immigrants.  Then Trump changed his mind.  Is Trump the voice of reason in his administration against the hardliners on immigration and Iran?  I don't think so.  He is the president.  There is no need to announce the policies of the hardliners and then stopped them just before they go into effect.  If he is the voice of reason, he would not have given the go ahead in the first place.  The excuses for pulling back are just unbelievable.  He didn't realize 150 people would be killed in the bombing?  Did he think that our bombs and missiles only hit buildings and weapons?  And he listened to Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats to postpone the ICE raids?   Come On!

The truth is that Trump has no strategy on anything.  He just wings it or announce something that will rally his base.  Once he realizes that what he wants to do will backfire, he changes course.  His dealings with North Korea and China bears this out.  The problem is, his threats may lead to escalations that will be bad for the country and the world.  The trade war with China can still spiral out of control.  Miscalculations between Iran and the U.S. still can lead to war and more chaos in the Middle East.  

The Iran situation is typical example of an unforced error.  The Iran deal was going well.  All other countries involved were pleased with the situation.  Trump blew it up to satisfy his base and Saudi Arabia and some factions of Israel.  There was no backup plan.  Sure it hurt Iran but if you push someone into a corner, he is sure to fight back.  Trump has repeatedly complained about the quagmire that Bush got us into in Iraq.  So I don't think he wants to send troops.  But bombing by itself will not stop Iran or cause regime change.  Iran will cause damage to us and the world if we attack.  Terrorism will increase.  All this because Trump blew up the nuclear deal without any well-thought out strategy. 

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