Romney wins big tonight and as I predicted from the beginning, he is going to win the nomination. But even though his speech tonight points toward the general election by calling for unity against Obama, he still has a fight on his hand. Gingrich is not going to quit. He has risen from the dead before and he is so arrogant that he thinks he can do it again. Plus he really dislikes Romney. He does not care if it causes the Republican the election, he is going to fight to the end. He has no chance to win but will force Romney to stay on the right of center.
Paul is not going to quit either. He never had a chance to win but he is not running for reelection to Congress and he wants to have a say in the Republican convention. If he is totally ignored, I think he may run as a third party. If he does and Romney is nominated, he will pull votes from the Republicans and help Obama. Maybe not as much as Ross Perot helped Clinton, but it would be important in this close race. Ironically, I think if Gingrich somehow wins the nomination, Paul would actually take votes from Obama. Of course, Gingrich cannot be Obama so in this case Paul would not make any difference. So if I was advising the Republicans, they should let Romney win now and give Paul token recognition at the convention and adopt some of his ideas. For example, they can advocte gold standard, which will never pass, and hope Paul does not go to a third party.
Tuesday, January 31, 2012
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Gingrich really screwed up. Seemed like he had a good chance to win Florida a couple of weeks ago but he did not perform very well in the debates and really showed his true colors.
ReplyDeleteI forgot that Florida is a winner takes all state and that is a huge boost for Romney. It will take a miracle for Newt to pull this out.
I heard that Santorum will keep running, but you've got to figure he will give up soon and maybe put his support behind Newt. Probably won't mean much and now we are seeing the effects of having a huge war chest like Romney has.
I guess Paul has nothing better to do anyway, but what will he end up doing after the election? Has he practiced medicine in the last 10 years? Does he just do paid speaking engagements?
I see that the democrats have jumped on Romney's tax records. Good strategy on their part.
LBOAYM
I thought that this year no state was going to be winner take all. I guess I am totally wrong. But even with all 50 votes, Romney is still far from clinching the nomination mathematically. He will win but in the meanwhile Gingrich and Paul will give him more hassle. Santorum is still running with the idea that he can beat out Gingrich as the conservative candidate. He is attacking Gingrich more than Romney now. Paul is in his mid seventies so after the election he won't be doing anything politically except maybe help his son in the future.
ReplyDeleteRomney is getting flak for his comment on not concern with the poor because they have a safety net! He was trying to make a point about focusing on the middle class. So I don't think it is fair for Democrats to attack him on this comment. I think a lot of times people take something out of context and use it negatively. Of course it is up to the voters to find the context of the remarks so that they don't get influenced by negative ads, MSNBC, or FNC.
Having defended Romney, I must point out that he is in danger of being seen as a rich elitist out of touch of average people. His comments about corporation are people, his speaking fees of over $300,000 as being very little, his bet of $1o,000 with Perry,his oversea accounts, all point to a different style of life compare to ordinary people. Add to the fact that he and his super-pac out spent Gingrich by 5 to 1 in Florida will make people think that he is trying to buy the election.