The first Christian. I mean Republican party, debates are over. I did not see much of the JV game but I understand Carly Fiorina came out best. That is bad news for veteran politicians like Perry and Graham who should have been able do better than the inexperienced. Fiorina is not a viable candidate since she couldn't even do the job at Hewlett Packard. So I don't see anyone from the JV moving up to the varsity.
The varsity game started out with a bang. Trump was the only one who raised his hand to not pledge that he would support the eventual nominee and not run as a third party candidate. This seems to give credence to the idea that he is really a secret democrat embedded to mess up the Republicans. Asked why he donated to Democrats like Clinton, he said basically that he used the system to get favors later on although he did not specify which favors he got with his money. The question is: if he games the system as a private person, wouldn't he also game the system even more as president?
I think overall John Kasich did the best followed by Marco Rubio. Neither is likely to win. Kasich is too well unknown and too moderate. Rubio is too young and Hispanic. Jeb Bush was mediocre, again not giving a concise answer (to an expected question) to the Bush war. Bush, Christie, Walker, Cruz and Huckabee were in the middle pack. Paul and Carson were at the end. Trump maybe just ahead of those two but clearly did worse than the other 7 in my opinion.
Thursday, August 06, 2015
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I am noticing a lot of publicity for Fiorina these last few days. I think her attacks on Clinton made her get some bumps. Though I don't see her raising enough money to win the nomination or beat Clinton.
ReplyDeleteThe GOP is screwed a bit for allowing Trump get this far in the process. If you don't nominate him, he will run as an Independent and take away votes from the Republican nominee. If you nominate him, you are putting a face on your party that you don't want.
Of all the candidates, I really like Christie the most. He's blunt and doesn't speak like a politician. Plus, he seems pretty moderate. I don't know how Walker has gotten this far as governor of Wisconsin. He and Ted Cruz do not appeal to me. Bush struggled in the debate. At least his brother seemed better prepared when he ran.
From a debate standpoint, I agree with you that Trump didn't do well. But his appeal is that he speaks his mind, so maybe it helps his cause because he is not spewing out party rhetoric.
I saw an interview with Jon Stewart who was host of the Daily Show. He said he hates interviewing politicians because you don't get truthful answers. He said they are like salespeople but at least a salesman will tell you later that he doesn't really believe the product works.
-LBOAYM
I think for the GOP to win they need to nominate a moderate from a toss up state or a blue state. So I think that leaves Bush, Christie and Kasich. Rubio and Walker would also have been possible winners but they have turned too conservative for a general election. Kasich is too unknown. Bush must do better or he will lose whatever money advantage he has. Christie is not a bad choice although he is less popular in NJ now and so I wonder if he can carry his own state in a general election. If the GOP nominates anyone else they will not win unless Clinton falls apart or the democrats are dumb enough to nominate Sanders.
ReplyDeleteWhat happened to Dombrowski? Did he get fired or resigned. There is a rumor that he will end up in Toronto. If that happens and Toronto makes the playoffs thanks to David Price, will there be an investigation?
There is an article in Hoopshabit.com about Jeremy Lin. It is an interview with Nathan Gottlieb who used to be a beat writer for the Knicks among other jobs. His analysis of Lin is extremely thorough and his views are similar to mine although he is much better at expressing them than I can. He also points out that Lin is better than Kemba Walker, the starting PG for the Hornets. This is a point I would like to get across without sounding like an extreme Lin supporter. Anyways, it is a good read and even explains why Lin took the Hornet offer which is below market value without any assurance of a starting job.
So are you convinced that the GOP will not nominate Trump if he is still leading in the polls? I doubt that Sanders will get the nod on the Democratic side, though he has a strong grassroots following. He reminds me of the elder Paul on the GOP side (except on the opposite side of the political spectrum).
ReplyDeleteDombrowski was let go. Nobody knows for sure what happened, but Dombrowski said in an interview on the radio that he didn't know he was going to be let go. He said they were still in negotiations for a new contract.
I don't necessarily agree with the Avila hire, but I guess time will tell. I still think they need to get rid of Ausmus. They screwed up by not waiting for Maddon, who has turned around the Cubs.
I heard that Dombrowski will be going to Anaheim. Who knows if the rumors are true or not.
I will check out that Lin article. On a side note, I also heard that L.A. has the inside track on the Olympics because it is willing to pay big money. Any idea when the selection is made public?
-LBOAYM
Trump leads in the polls with 20%. But the other 80% is divided by 16 others right now. Eventually it will weed down to 1 or 2 moderates and 1 or 2 conservatives who will divide the 80%. I don't think Trump will ever get more than 25% so he will never get 51% of the delegates to win the nomination. His supports from the angry people will hold steady but I don't think he will pick up supporters from those who will drop out.
ReplyDeleteI actually think Sanders have a better chance to win his side's nomination than Trump. Sanders is one big Clinton scandal from being the nominee. That is more likely than Trump outlasting 16 others. Although if Clinton falters, the Democrats may draft Biden.
LA mayor is proposing only 4.1 billion for the Olympics, insisting LA infrastructure do not require much upgrade. USOC really have no choice but to pick LA at this point. Beating out Paris, Rome and Hamburg is another matter.
I don't think Dombrowski will come to the Angels. I hear Seattle and Toronto are the likely places.
Almost football season, Michigan is picked by LA Times to be ranked 25. That is the kiss of death. As good as Harbaugh is, I don't think they will be ranked this season since they are in same division as MSU, OSU and PSU. What are the people in the state of Michigan saying?
I am really interested to see what happens at the GOP convention and to see which candidate shakes out. I wonder if the party will be able to nominate someone. I don't really see Sanders being any threat to win the nomination if Clinton faults. I think the DNC will try to nominate a moderate and yes, Biden might be that guy. However, if he were to run, he probably should have started a month ago. Though maybe an incumbent VP can start later.
ReplyDeleteYou and I can have our first bet of the summer with where Dombrowski ends up. So I'll take Anaheim and you can have Seattle or Toronto.
Hard to get through the junk here in Michigan regarding the football team. There's been way too much talk about Harbaugh and not enough about the team. I suspect they'll be in the middle of the Big Ten and I think most writers here are saying 4th to 6th place. I also think that a lot of people who are level headed like you, think that it'll take a couple of years, which I can agree with.
-LBOAYM
While it would be fun to see the nomination not decided before the convention, that has not happened for decades. By the end of the primary season I think Trump would have been eliminated. I think all the candidates will track to the right as Bush just did in California yesterday. By blaming Obama for rise of ISIS he is fudging history but is trying to get the conservative votes. If nobody has 50% from the primary votes then the so called super delegates may decide. These are establishment people who are not elected in the primary process. They will likely go against Trump so that is why I don't think he can win even if gets say 40 plus percent of the primary votes.
ReplyDeleteIf Clinton gets a big lead over Sanders and then gets into a big scandal, then Biden will probably step in. I don't know of anyone else who can come in and have a chance to win. If Sanders stay fairly close say around 40% and the scandal occurs near the convention time then I don't think Biden can cut in. Sanders may well get 10% of the delegates committed to Clinton. So that is why even though Sanders is unlikely to win, I say he actually has a better chance than Trump.
The owner of the Angels, Moreno, likes Mike Soscia. The manager is actually in charge of the team so I don't see Dombrowski coming here unless the Angels totally collapse. So I will take Seattle.