Monday, December 01, 2008

It appears that the terrorist attack in India was the work of Pakistani extremists. It also appears that there was local involvement given how well the terrorists knew about the targets. It is not surprising that there are radicals inside India. There are actually more Muslims in India than in Pakistan! The Muslims are also much poorer and less educated than the average Indians. I have heard that they are worse off than the so-called Untouchables in India. So it is not surprising that a number of them would turn against their country.

I have always said that the former Soviet countries are the most likely places where terrorists will get a nuclear weapon. But the most likely country to use the bomb next time will be Pakistan, will India following in retaliation. Iran and North Korea will not use the bomb in the near future because they know by doing they will be annihilated. But if Pakistan is taken over by Islamic fundamentalist and is losing a war against India, then the use of the bomb will be a strong possibility. So it is imperative that Obama try to defuse this situation and try to change the dynamic of this region.

It is easier said than done of course. There is a lot of mistrust on both side. Given the unhappiness of the Indian people regarding the government's handle of the attack, the Indians may want to put more blame on the Pakistan government to rally nationalism. Hopefully they won't do that but if they do our government should intervene to prevent escalation of tension. Pressure should be placed on Pakistan to find the organization involved. Instead of sending money to arm Pakistan which has not help in the war against terror, we should help finance schools in both countries which will be a counterweight against religious schools which foster extremism. All this will take time and a lot of effort, but nuclear wars and terrorism will not be stopped with force alone.

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