Sunday, December 31, 2017

Took couple of weeks off and was surprised to see that there were 21 views yesterday.  I figure that it must be that the people are waiting for my predictions for 2018, so here it goes!

First there are people who are predicting that we will go to war with North Korea.  I don't think that will happen.  Trump and Kim will continue to exchange insults but there will not be war.   Kim won't start it since he knows that will be suicidal.  There are people who will hold Trump back so the U.S. won't attack first.  North Korea will continue to make progress on the nuclear front.

The Mueller investigation will conclude at the end of the year.  I don't think he will find collusion.  But he will find somethings that are embarrassing to Trump such as tax irregularities and Russians have "dirt" on him.  GOP won't call for impeachment so there won't be any as they still control Congress.

The Democrats, however, will win back the House.  So they may call for impeachment in 2019.  But given that the Democrats have to defend 26 out of 34 seats in the senate and then win 2 from the Republicans, I think the GOP will keep the senate.

China will become more important in the world stage.  It is not that they are doing great but it is the trouble of other nations that make China more important.  The U.S., under Trump, will pull back from world leadership.  We will also lose prestige as a result of this president.  Populism and conservatism will make leaders like Merkel less powerful in Europe.  Oil price drop will make Saudi Arabia less powerful in the Middle East.  It also will make life more difficult for Iran and Russia.  South America is a big mess.  So China will keep rising by default.

Here are some obvious predictions:  The Wall will not be built with one peso from Mexico.  There will be fire and drought in the west, hurricanes and flood in the southeast, tornadoes in the Midwest.  Trump will continue to tweet from his bathroom at 3 am.  More sexual harassment by powerful men will come to light.  More mass shootings will occur.

With the tax cut, Wall Street is happy and so the market will continue to go up for at least first half of the year.  Then reality hits and there will be some pull back.  Will it end slightly positive for the year or a significant decline will depend on the result of the Mueller investigation.  Is it just personal dirt or financial improprieties that shake the confidence of regular people?  My guess that the market will be in the red at the end of the year.

Finally, sports predictions.  New England to win the Super Bowl.  The Warriors repeat in NBA.   Dodgers to win World Series.  Ohtani will hit about .260 with 20 home runs while DH about 85 games and pitch in 25 games with a 10-5 record and era of 3.20.  I give up on predicting the NHL since I think it is like throwing a dart blindly.  The U.S. will get the most medals in the Winter Olympic games.  I am 100% sure they will out medal Russia!  An athlete will win one of the two seasons of DWTS.

Happy new year, everybody!

1 comment:

  1. Anonymous7:01 AM

    Trying to write on this post and will see if it works!

    The problem with the GOP right now, is that they're fighting each other. There's no clear leadership and uniting vision in the party. I am not a big fan of Bannon and I don't believe anything he would say. Especially when he's trying to sell a book. I also can't believe anything Trump would say in defense of himself. He's already been proven to be a liar. So this thing between him and Bannon is a dumpster fire. I doubt we will learn what really happened behind closed doors and even though it can be fun to observe, I don't want to waste my time in listening to lies.

    -LBOAYM

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