With the announcement of Christie and Palin that they will not run, the race to be the Republican nominee will be down to Perry and Romney. There is no time left for anyone else to get in the race and raise money and get an organization going, what with the first primaries and caucuses being pushed earlier and earlier. A few weeks ago I predicted that either Romney or Perry will win with Bachmann and Paul hanging on for few more months. This looks to be correct. However, I had no idea that Herman Cain would be among the top three at this time. I thought he would have been eliminated. Still there is no chance that he will win. The Republicans are just frustrated with the performance of Perry and Bachmann and they don't really like Paul and Romney. All the conservative talk by Cain, delivered much better than Perry, have gotten him this far. But now that people are noticing him, there will be more scrutiny and he will fall out soon enough.
The conservatives had pushed Perry into the race. Then they found out they don't really like his stand on immigration and the HPV vaccine! Plus they found he couldn't debate well. I still think that he has a decent chance because most Republicans still don't like Romney. But again I think if the country stays the same next fall, Romney will have even chance against Obama, while Perry would lose to Obama. Perry can win, of course, if the economy gets even worse or if there is a terrorist attack. Perry can also win if he gets Christie to be vp. But after declining so many times, I don't think Christie will accept vp either. I think if the Republicans lose to Obama again, and Christie loses 50 lbs, I will guarantee that he will run in 2016.
Thursday, October 06, 2011
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What do you think of Herman Cain? He sure has an impressive resume sans the politcal experience.
ReplyDeleteHe isn't electable and I sometimes wonder why he is even in the race. Is he so rich and bored that this is what he chooses or does he think he has a legit chance?
The guy has failed every time he has run for political office and has backed terrible campaigns in the past.
As far as Christie goes, I have to believe that he has skeletons in his closet that he doesn't want to come out. If there were a time to run, it would be now.
I predict that the 2016 campaign will have Hilary Clinton running and I think she could win it. I also think that the economy will recover by then and that the GOP will not have much to run on except to attack the liberal platform.
-LBOAYM