Monday, July 09, 2018

As expected Trump nominated one of the 4 finalists to be the next Supreme court justice.  Brett Kavanaugh will be pushed through the confirmation process by the GOP majority in the senate.  The Democrats will be trying to delay the process till after the November midterm election.  I don't think they will be successful.  Unlike Obama's last nomination, the GOP will get Kavanaugh a vote.  The chance of the Democrats stopping the confirmation is low.  There are only two GOP senators who are on the fence:  Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine.   With John McCain not available to vote, if one of the two vote no and all the democrats vote no, then Kavanaugh loses 50-49. But there are three Democrats in red states who are vulnerable in November so it is not sure the Democrats can hold rank.  If two of the three vote yes, then it is impossible to stop Kavanaugh.  So I think he will ultimately be confirmed.

Trump claims that he would not ask the nominee of his views on overturning Roe vs Wade.  But since all the finalists were given to him by the Federalist Society, it can be sure that Kavanaugh, just like the other finalists, are abortion foes.  It is like if the NAACP does the vetting for Obama, I don't think you will get someone against affirmative action.  Kavanaugh is not going to be the next David Souter, who was nominated by George H.W. Bush but turned out to be a liberal.  So Trump does not have to ask Kavanaugh about abortion.  But I think he might have asked him about things that are more important to Trump personally.  Like what is his view of a special counsel forcing a sitting president to testify.  Or if a sitting president can be charged and prosecuted.  Or can a president pardon himself.  Those are the questions that I think Trump might have asked Kavanaugh.

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