More than a year ago I wrote about Cliven Bundy who owed the government a million dollars in fees and fines for grazing on federal land.  Now his son Ammon is the leader of a group that is taking over a federal building in a remote area of Oregon.  Previously I said that the government should approach the Cliven Bundy situation cautiously.  There is no need to turn this into another Waco.  But more than a year later that situation has not resolved.  Bundy still owes the money.  Now his son has seized this building and is not clear what his ultimate goal is.  Again, armed men are involved and are threatening law enforcement with violence if they try to getting them out of there.

I have no good solution to peacefully end this.  Apparently law enforcement has none either since  they still have not gotten the money from Bundy after all this time.  I am quite sure that anyone who owes the IRS a million but has no guns will be in jail already.  So is this going to lead to others who will just use threats of violence to ward off the government?  Is that what the Second Amendment is about?  I also wonder what the response would be if a group of armed black men take over a federal building?

Well, the Big Ten was mediocre, winning half of their games.  That is still better than my 4-6 record in my predictions.  Even with that in mind, I will ring in the new year with my predictions for 2016.  Do not take these predictions to bet in Las Vegas!

I predict that Clinton will become the first woman president of the U.S.  I have this feeling that Ted Cruz may actually be the GOP nominee.  But regardless who it is, Trump have done enough damage for it to be unlikely that the GOP will beat Clinton.  I don't think Trump will run as a third party candidate but he will still be a thorn on the side of the nominee. 

The stock market will have several wild gyrations but will end up within 3% of today's level.  China will have even slower growth rate this year than last but the Chinese government will still be able to stimulate it out of deep trouble.  Otherwise the world economy will tank.  The slow economy in China is going to affect commodity prices and will affect countries like Australia and Brazil which depend on Chinese purchases.  The U.S. will not be affected as much and with oil prices continue to be low will actually see the dollar gaining in value.

There will be 3 major terrorist attacks in the world but the overall strength of ISIS will decrease.  They will hold less territory than this past year.  With oil prices dropping and being mired in Syria, Putin will be less aggressive but will still be a pain in the butt for the world.

I don't think there will be a terrorist attack at the Olympics.  But there will be a lot of problems like transportation, venues not up to par, protests and crime.  The U.S. will win the medal count over China.

Odds against it happening are quite high, but I predict that NE will beat Seattle again in the Super Bowl since I am not convinced any other team out there, including the Panthers, are likely to win.  I take Cleveland over GS in the NBA because I think that Curry may not be healthy for the finals and Lebron will have Kevin Love and Irving back this year.  Don't know anything about the NHL anymore so I will just take Montreal since they haven't won in a while.  I like Dave Roberts and I think Ryu will come back to help Kershaw carry the Dodgers to a World Series title over the Tigers.

I am sure not many people watched the latest Democratic debate.  It doesn't make much difference anyway.  Clinton will be the nominee barring a big scandal.  Sanders is more of a sparring partner than an opponent in the ring.  So Clinton appears to be taking more shots at Trump than his "opponents".  I agree that Trump will serve as a recruiting tool for ISIS.  But I think Clinton went too far to say that there are ISIS videos featuring Trump right now.  There is no proof of that so far that I can see.  There is no point to exaggerate things.

But I don't understand the bromance happening between Trump and Putin.  Putin says Trump is bright and talented and Trump says there is no proof that Putin has killed any journalists.  Trump also says it is a great honor to be praised by Putin.  Since I don't think Putin has our country's interest at heart, I think he must want to deal with Trump than somebody else after next year.  So I can see why he praise Trump.  But is Trump really that stupid to defend a dictator?  It would be like FDR accepting the praise of Hitler and say that there is no proof that Hitler killed anyone.  But then I guess Trump's supporters don't care what Trump says.

Once again is time for my AAAAA-Angry Asian Absolutely Accurate Assessment of Big Ten Bowl picks.  I have Indiana, Minnesota, Michigan, Northwestern, Ohio State  and Penn State winning.  I have Nebraska, Wisconsin, MSU and Iowa losing.  So I predict 6-4.

I think the playoff games are unpredictable.  The consensus among the so called experts is that Oklahoma and Alabama are the two best teams.  I think that is a stretch.  I think all four teams can win the title and all four could easily have not been here except for some luck.  But there is no controversy of the four being here.  I have Alabama slightly favored over MSU but I think the line of Alabama favored by 10 points is ridiculous.  If I am a betting man, I would take the points.  Oklahoma is favored by 3 and half over Clemson.  I also would take the points here.  In fact I pick Clemson straight up over Oklahoma.  I would like to see the semis before deciding on the final to see how each winning team played against another top team.  But if I have to pick right now, I pick Clemson because I think Alabama may beat MSU but they will be beat up pretty badly physically from this game.  I think Clemson will have a easier time against Oklahoma.

Obama went on tv tonight in an attempt to reassure Americans about the threat from terrorists.  I don't think it changes anything.  Those who are against him will say the same things and those on his side will not change their tunes.  There are no good and easy way to do this.  This will continue into the next presidency.  And whoever is elected will not have any better idea than Obama.  If someone like Trump gets elected, God forbid, he will find that rhetoric will not get rid of ISIS and in fact plays right into terrorists hands and increase their ability to recruit.

You know, there are a lot of Americans who are angry that more is not done about ISIS.  There are also a lot of Americans who have great fear of terrorism.  But despite what happened in California this week, terrorism have not cause many deaths since 9/11.   The chances of getting killed from terrorism is miniscule compared to the chances of getting murdered by fellow Americans.  So how come those people who are angry at Obama are not a thousand times more angry about the people who don't want to stop gun violence?  You don't want to stop people who are on no fly lists from getting guns?  Really?  Obama may sound careless when he described ISIS as a jv team.  But we are not living in the most dangerous time as people suggest.  Remember the 1960s when we were frightened of what the USSR will do to us?  Compared to the USSR, ISIS is jv.  Also 50,000 Americans died in Vietnam during that time.  So the chances of Americans dying due to a conflict was much greater then.  It was also greater during the Iraq war under Bush than now.  So let's have some perspective.  It took a long time to get rid of the threat from the USSR.  It will take a long time to get rid of the threat from ISIS who by the way came into existence thanks to our invasion of Iraq.

Hope everybody had a great Thanksgiving.  Not surprising news today: Kobe Bryant announces that this will be his last season.  It would be shocking if he had decided to keep playing.  Now, it would also be more gracious if he will tell Byron Scott to play him just a few minutes per game.  It makes no sense for him to play 30 plus minutes a game and then sit out one of two back to back games.  He is not helping the team win anyway and it would be much better for the team to give more minutes to the young players.  It is a cliche to say that father time always win but it is true.  I remember Willie Mays looking absolutely terrible in the outfield his last season.  Kobe is like that now with his shooting percentage around 30 and jacking up 3 pointers at a rate of less than 20 percent success.  Play about 5 minutes each half and bow to the fans.  That will be a good farewell tour.

Speaking of farewell tour, the same may happen to Ichiro next season.  He has signed for another season with the Marlins.  It looks like he is trying to break Pete Rose's all time hit record when combined with the hits he got in Japan and in MLB.  Ichiro has obviously declined in the last couple of seasons.  If he continues to decline early next season, it may not be worth it to stick around just to break the record.  I don't want to see him struggling below 250 for a whole season.  Even if he breaks the record, it is not a record recognized by everybody.  As Rose points out:  if they count Ichiro's hits from Japan, then they should count Rose's hits from the minors.  It is an argument where there is no right or wrong.  Whether Ichiro breaks the record or not will have no baring on the excellence of his career.  Remember, Ichiro is not just a great hitter but also one of the greatest outfielder of all time and had one of the greatest throwing arm.  So the last thing I want to see is him fumbling around in the outfield like Mays did at the end.

I am going to comment on two subjects today.  It will be obvious after reading this blog today that you can see why I can never run for political office.  I would be crucified from the left and right because one side will disagree with me wholeheartedly on one subject and the other side will disagree with me on the other subject.

First subject is student protests in liberal schools over microaggression.  I am not talking about Missouri where there appears to be legitimate reasons for the protests and subsequent resignation of the president.  There is a history of discrimination there.  But in liberal schools the anger over microaggression is disturbing to me.  Of course being called the n word or Chinaman is very hurtful and those words should not be spoken in a college.  But now people are complaining about minor misspeak by white people.  The dean at Claremont college resigned after agreeing to help students "who don't fit our mold".  Now she obviously misspoke but I don't think she is racist by any means and she is probably a person who really wants to help minority students.  It is like a person gets upset if a white person ask where he is from.  I would answer Detroit to that question.  But if someone really wants to know my ethnicity, it is no big deal.  If someone says that I dance well for an old Chinese guy, I don't get all upset.  If I think he is really trying to say Chinese can't dance, I would enlighten him by telling him to look up Victor Fung, who maybe is the best male ballroom dancer in the world!  We can't get too sensitive and forget the big picture: to be treated fairly.  We should not get mad at others for being slightly insensitive or misspeak.

Now I want to thank the mayor in Virginia who brought up the interment of the Japanese when he talked about Syrian refugees.  Now this is not microaggression, this is racism.  There was no evidence of any treason acts by the Japanese Americans.  If fact the Japanese Americans were about the most decorated in WWII.  Using one of the black eye in our history to back up your discrimination now?  Wow!  In fact this type of thing is exactly what ISIS wants to happen.  Killing a few westerners does nothing for ISIS compare to the paranoia it causes us.  Acting scared and discriminatory will help the bad guys recruit more fighters in our own land and be much more dangerous than letting vetted refugees come in.  Somehow the people born in this country built by immigrants is afraid of immigrants.

The French terrorist attack brings sadness and sympathy for the victims.  The news that one of the perpetrator had a Syrian refugee passport must send chills to the refugee community.  The door for them to get into Europe maybe shut as a result of this.  Even if countries like Germany are still willing to allow refugees in, there will be less kindness and more hostility from the native population toward the newcomers.

Lindsey Graham says that there will be another 9/11.  Isn't this saying the obvious?   No matter how good our intelligence and prevention strategies are, the terrorists only have to make it through the defense once!  We have to be 100% right and that is not possible for any nation.  We are in better position than Europe in that we have a lot less people going to the middle east and come back as possible terrorists than France for example.  Europe is also a lot closer to the middle east than the U.S.  But as I said, one mistake is all it takes.

I don't agree with Graham that we should put 10,000 troops on the ground now to fight ISIS.  Even if we and NATO forces can defeat ISIS, it will not eliminate threats.  We won the first Gulf War and that led to al qeada, and we took out Hussein and got ISIS.  When we defeat one group another props up because it is perceived that we are in the middle east to kill Muslims.  Look at Russia fighting in Syria and right away was targeted.  I say let the middle east sort itself out.  Besides putting premium on intelligence, we should also have counter offense against internet recruiting by terrorist groups.  For example, greater effort to show that 50% of young recruits from western countries ended up dead in the middle east.  These efforts will not eliminate threats but I know having our soldiers die in the middle east will not stop the threats either.

The leaders of China and Taiwan met in Singapore this past week.  There were protests in Taiwan and many supporters of Taiwan were uneasy over this historic event.  The leaders of the two sides had not met since the Nationalists fled to Taiwan.  It is understandable that there is fear and distrust of the communist government in the mainland.  But the truth is that the two sides have been having increasing economic and social ties gradually.  I think continue and increase engagement of the two sides is good.  I mean, if China decides to try to take over Taiwan then ignoring China would not change that.  By increasing trades and tourism between the two  sides, there will be less tension and make it less likely that aggression will occur.  So I think Taiwan's president Ma Ying Jeou is doing the right thing by meeting Xi Jingping.

Anyone watched SNL yesterday?  I didn't watch it but looking at some of the skits on the internet, I found the Trump show to be rather boring.  I am sure the ratings will be good but I don't think it helped the reputation of SNL or Trump.  I would not have bothered protesting the show, it gave it more publicity and does not change anyone's opinion anyway.

Opted to watch the World Series instead of the GOP debate last week.  It doesn't seem like it change anything even though people say that Marco Rubio did the best.  Of course previous good performances by Fiorina only temporary gave her a boost.  Now she is an also ran again.  So I don't think these debates are doing much to the race.  The big news coming out of this is that the GOP is so upset with the moderators from CNBC that they are boycotting NBC.  It seems to me if they want softball questions, they should just have all the debates on FNC.  Oh, I forgot that Trump got into fight with a woman moderator for Fox.  Hey, if they think NBC is biased, then why is Trump going on Saturday Night Live?

Frankly, I am surprised how poorly Jeb Bush is doing.  If no scandal occur, I don't see anyone in this field can beat Clinton.  Well, with maybe the exception of Rubio.  I don't see the GOP nominating a Hispanic. But if Rubio is nominated and he picks Kasich or Christie, then there is a reasonable chance of beating Clinton.  With Florida and either NJ or Ohio going to the GOP column, Rubio may pull it off.  Of course, I did see Scott Walker coming out of toss up state of Wisconsin.  That was over before it got started.  But at least Rubio has done well in the debates, unlike Walker.

China is getting rid of the one child policy.  Now couples can have 2 children.  The one child policy caused lot of bad things like forced abortion.  But it did stabilize China's population.  It is no longer needed however.  With increased prosperity and urbanization, Chinese couples are wanting less children.  So eventually no policy will be needed.  And it is a sure bet that in the very near future, India will surpass China as the world's most populous country.